
Before we go on let's make sure we're all on the same page. Financial forecasting is like looking into a crystal ball but it uses real numbers trends and data. Investopedia says that it's basically a way to guess what will happen with your money in the future by looking at past and present data (https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/financial-forecast.asp). It's like getting your GPS ready before a long trip. You might have some trouble but at least you know where you're going.
It's important for business owners in The Woodlands to start with the basics so that their strategies are based on a strong foundation. Begin with information from the past. How have your sales been doing over the past few years? Are there seasonal patterns you need to plan for because of local events or holidays? Put all of this data together and see if you can find any patterns. This easy step lets you use more complex methods to make predictions.
What do you do with all this data now? It's time to choose your forecasting tools. You wouldn't use a screwdriver to put in a nail would you? Also picking the right tools to help you guess your finances can make a big difference. Two tools that can help small businesses in The Woodlands get started are QuickBooks and FreshBooks. Their platforms are simple to use so even people who aren't very good with money can understand their numbers.
There are two types of forecasting qualitative which uses expert opinions and quantitative which uses more historical data and statistical methods. Most of the time the best thing to do is a mix of the two. If you run a small restaurant it's just as important to keep track of how much money you make each month (quantitative) as it is to listen to what your customers say about the food (qualitative).
The Woodlands is more than just a suburb it has its own people personality and economy that set it apart from other suburbs. There should never be a time when someone does financial forecasting on their own. Does your business do well during the busy Wine & Food Weeks (https://www.visitthewoodlands.com/)? You should include these kinds of local events in your forecasts because they can bring a lot more people to your store.
It's also very important to know how people in your area act. For instance school calendars or summer heat waves could change how people spend their money here. Stay up to date on what's going on in your area like government projects (https://www.woodlandsonline.com/) and community events. A good realistic forecast always considers these things.
Did you guess what would happen? Good. But don't just put it away in a drawer. Checking your financial forecasts over and over again is just as important as making them in the first place. You should change your plans based on how well your business is doing just like you would check your rearview mirror while driving.
Every three months take a step back. Did the rush around Christmas bring in more sales than you thought? Did you have to pay for things you didn't expect that messed up your budget? Compare your predictions to actual data. If the numbers don't add up it's time to change your plan.
Seasonal changes can have a big effect on businesses in The Woodlands which can lead to changes. You can stay proactive instead of reactive by reviewing your work once a year and getting updates every three months.
Finally any good prediction should include some risk management. A sudden drop in the economy a new competitor across the street or problems with the global supply chain can all have an effect on your business that you didn't see coming. It's not just smart to include a risk management plan in your financial forecasts it's also required.
You might want to make a few different predictions like one that is cautious one that is moderate and one that is hopeful. This will make sure your business is ready for anything that happens. Two examples of contingency plans that can help you change course when you need to are having an emergency fund or a flexible workforce.
When things get confusing financial forecasting can help you figure things out. It might seem scary at first but after a while it becomes a very useful tool. Business owners in The Woodlands can make their financial predictions even better by using information from the area. So why not give it a try? Your future self will be happy.